📊 Market Snapshot (now)
BTC ~$119k; off recent highs, trading in a tight pre-CPI range. Barron'sKitco
ETH ~$4.23k; tracking BTC, modest intraday pullback. YCharts
BTC Dominance ~59.6% (24h roughly flat). CoinCodex
Altseason Index: upper-30s to low-40s (not altseason). AInvestBitget
Liquidations (24h): ~$420M across market. Bitget
Macro (DXY / risk): Dollar steady into CPI; markets cautious. Reuters
🔺 A. Momentum Confirmation Filter
Read: BTC momentum cooled from the ATH test; breadth uneven; liquidations elevated but not extreme. Dominance steady → leadership still BTC-centric; alts not broadly confirming.
Output: ⚠️ Momentum Hollow – Bounce Without Fuel (watch for pullback/fake strength into data). Barron'sCoinCodexBitget
🔺 B. Session Divergence Alert System
Read: Pre-US data day; Asia/Europe kept BTC near $119k; US session risk around CPI is high (dollar sensitive).
Output: 🟡 Session Divergence Risk – US data window (expect whipsaws around 14:30 CEST / 08:30 ET). Reuters
🔺 C. Po3 Trap Failure Detector
Read: No clean Po3 invalidation visible today; price is range-bound into event rather than hovering under a failed neckline.
Output: ⚪ Neutral – No Po3 trap detected.
🔺 D. Alt Heatmap Safety Overlay
Read: Altseason Index not confirming; BTC.D ~59–60% keeps the spotlight on BTC; selective alt moves, but breadth not sufficient.
Output: 🟡 Alts Not Confirming – Don’t trust BTC alone. CoinCodexAInvest
🧭 Final DW Verdict (right now)
Cautiously Bullish (Yellow overlay).
Momentum exists but is data-dependent. Until breadth improves (Altseason Index > ~50 and BTC.D slips decisively) prefer measured exposure and fade-chasing discipline into US data. If CPI comes in cooler and DXY softens, watch for ETH/BTC uptick and first rotation into majors; otherwise, expect range expansion both ways with traps around the print. Bureau of Labor StatisticsReuters
🗞️ News Radar (today)
US CPI (Jul) prints today at 08:30 ET (14:30 CEST); markets primed for a modest m/m rise and intense focus on core. This is the main driver today. Bureau of Labor Statistics+1
Pre-CPI tone: risk mixed, USD steady, crypto slightly softer; desks flag event risk for BTC’s range near $119k. ReutersAInvest
⚠️ Disclaimer
This matrix is informational only and not financial advice. Markets are volatile—especially around macro releases. Always do your own research, size positions prudently, and use stops.