DW Sentiment Matrix — Aug 25, 2025
Live Crypto Market Read - Know the trend. Avoid the traps.
Snapshot (as of ~18:00 CEST)
BTC $112.5K (day range $110.7K–$114.8K).
ETH $4,609 (day range $4,533–$4,951).
SOL $197.8 (range $195–$213).
Global mkt cap ≈ $3.9–4.0T; 24h vol ≈ $240B; BTC.D ≈ 56–58%.
What just happened (price action & tape)
Over the weekend, a BTC “flash crash” (~24K BTC sold) erased Friday’s Powell-rally gains; BTC pulled back to ~$111K while ETH hit a fresh ATH (~$4.95K) before retracing.
Funding/OI: Binance BTC funding ~0.0096% annualized ~10.6%, suggesting mild long bias after the flush.
DW Matrix: Module Readouts (today)
A) Trend & Momentum
BTC: Below 50-DMA; momentum fragile post-whale dump → 🟠 Caution.
ETH: Still strong relative trend after ATH; cool-off underway → 🟢 Positive/Watch $4.8–5.0K.
B) Breadth & Rotation (alts vs majors)
Rotation into ETH/SOL noted in recent sessions; BTC dominance slipping from recent highs → 🟡 Mixed breadth.
C) Derivatives (funding, liquidations, OI)
Weekend liquidations $700–800M; ETH led during breakout; environment prone to squeeze/sweep behaviour → 🟠 Trap risk elevated.
D) Liquidity Heatmaps / Magnetology
BTC: Dense interest below $112K; upside clusters $115.8–$118.1K and ~$120K. Expect price-seeking into magnets, then mean-revert.
ETH: Long-liquidation pocket <$4.2K; short fuel near $4.95–5.0K. → 🟡 Two-sided.
E) Session Divergence & Po3 Filters
Handovers (US→Asia→EU) remain choppy; apply Session Divergence Alert & Po3 failure checks before green-lighting breakouts.
Matrix Verdict (today)
BTC: Neutral → Cautious (range trade / sweep-and-reclaim setups favored).
ETH: Neutral-to-Bullish while holding $4.5–4.6K; momentum revives on firm $4.8K reclaim.
Levels & Playbook
BTC
Downside sweep box: $110.7K → $110K — watch for reclaim + impulse for long to $112.8K / $115.8–$118.1K magnets; break & hold >$118K opens $120K squeeze.
Invalidation: Failure under $110K → risk of $107.5K support test.
ETH
Support: $4.53–4.60K; re-accum >$4.80K targets $4.95–5.0K; failure → $4.2–4.3K long-liq pocket.
SOL
Range: $195–$213; clean break/retest >$206–208 → $213/220; lose $195 → $188.
Latest useful news
Powell at Jackson Hole opened door to September rate cuts; markets whipsawed afterward.
BTC ATH last week (~$124K) on easing bets; pullback since puts focus on $110–112K support.
Weekend flash crash: Whale-linked selloff; broad $800M liquidations; ETFs saw mixed flows.
🧲 DW Magnet Zones — Liquidity Hunters (Bonus)
🔹 BTC/USDT
Primary magnets: $111–112K (bids/longs trapped) → expect sweep then bounce; $115.8–$118.1K short clusters; ~$120K macro magnet.
Plan: Fade first touch into magnets; trade reaction candle + reclaim for continuation.
🔹 ETH/USDT
Magnets: $4.95–5.0K (short fuel), $4.2–4.3K (long-liq) — likely seek-and-destroy between these on volatility spikes.
Plan: Look for wick into $4.53–4.60K then reclaim → target $4.8K → $4.95K; lose $4.5K → stand aside toward $4.2K pocket.
🧨 High OI Alts (quick hits)
SOL: $203–206 intraday magnet; overhead pocket $212–213. Play: Break/retest → squeeze; or fade rejection back to $198–200.
SUI: $3.35–3.45 local bids; $3.80–3.95 late-short pocket. Play: Wick into $3.40 → reclaim → $3.75; invalidation $3.30.
INJ: $13.3–13.6 absorption zone; $14.9–15.2 short fuel. Play: Acceptance above $14.2 → $15 sweep; lose $13.3 → $12.6.
How to use
If Matrix says 🟢 Safe, run Momentum + Po3 filters first; if alts fail to confirm (heatmap breadth <40%), downgrade.
Disclaimer
This report is market commentary & educational content, not financial advice. Crypto trading involves high risk, including the risk of total loss. Do your own research, size conservatively, and use hard stops.